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Dr. Victor Serebruany[/caption]
MedicalResearch.com Interview with:
Victor Serebruany, MD, PhD HeartDrug Research, Towson, Maryland
Department of Neurology Johns Hopkins University Baltimore, Maryland
Medical Research: What is the background for this study? What are the main findings?
Dr. Serebruany: Missing data are common challenges to the validity of trial results, yet it is unclear how to characterize the extent of missing data. We compared the published lost-to-follow-up rates to incomplete follow-up rates determined from subject records submitted to the FDA for major oral antithrombotic trials. The 21 trials having both sets of rates included 270,089 patients followed for a median duration of 20 months. The mean published lost-to-follow-up rates is 0.4% (median 0.3%, range 0.005% to 2%), consistently much lower than the FDA incomplete follow-up rates: mean 12% (median 13%, range 2% to 23%). There is no correlation between the publication and FDA-calculated rates (R 0.07, p = 0.76). The FDA rates exceed greatly the endpoint rate differences: mean 1.3% (median 1,0%, range 0.2% to 3.0%).
Medical Research: What should clinicians and patients take away from your report?
Dr. Serebruany: That the FDA incomplete follow-up rates greatly exceed the endpoint rate differences raises questions of whether the endpoint differences may be due to differential follow-up rather than drug effect. That they greatly exceed the measures routinely reported for trials, i.e., lost-to-follow-up rates, suggests that current trial reporting is inadequate. Completeness of follow-up and other indicators of trial data quality should be considered when interpreting trial results.