MedicalResearch.com Interview with:
Mitchell H. Gail, M.D., Ph.D.
Senior Investigator
Biostatistics Branch
Division of Cancer Epidemiology and Genetics
National Cancer Institute National Institutes of Health
Rockville MD 20850-9780
Medical Research: What is the background for this study?
Dr. Gail: In the United States, breast cancer survival following diagnosis has been improving since the 1970s. We wanted to understand what might explain these shifts, to fully characterize the changes over time, and to explore whether tumor size and estrogen receptor status could help explain the trends in age- and stage-specific
breast cancer death rates after diagnosis.
We evaluated survival from breast cancer from the date of diagnosis of all women diagnosed with invasive breast cancer in the US SEER Cancer Registries between 1973 and 2010. We excluded women with ductal or lobular carcinoma
in situ. We analyzed separate age groups (<50, 50-69, 70+ years) and SEER stage of disease (local, regional, distant).
Medical Research: What are the main findings?
Dr. Gail: Between 1973 and 2010, breast cancer death rates after diagnosis in the United States have fallen for each age group of women diagnosed with local or regional stage disease, not only in the first five years after diagnosis, but also thereafter. For women under age 70, rates also fell for women with distant disease.
Changes in tumor size or estrogen-receptor status do not explain much of the improvement among women under age 70 years, but do explain roughly half the improvement in 70+ year old women in the first five years after diagnosis.