Author Interviews, Ebola, Infections / 12.09.2014
Ebola: Each Primary Infection Resulting In Spread To More Than One Additional Case
MedicalResearch.com: Interview with:
Dr. Gerardo Chowell-Puente Ph.D.
Associate Professor School of Human Evolution and Social Change
College of Liberal Arts and Sciences Arizona State University
Medical Research: What are the main findings of the study?
Dr. Chowell-Puente:
1.We estimated the effective reproduction number of Ebola virus disease, i.e. average number of secondary cases produced by a single primary case at calendar time t (Rt), for the ongoing epidemic in West Africa from March to August 2014. Estimates of Rt for the Guinea, Sierra Leone and Liberia, countries that are experiencing sustained community transmission were consistently above 1.0 since June 2014.
2.Country-specific estimates of the reproduction number for Liberia and Sierra Leone lied between 1.0 and 2.0, reflecting continuous growth of cases in these countries
3. Effective reproduction number below 2 indicate that control could be attained by preventing over half of the secondary transmissions per primary case (e.g. by means of effective case isolation and contact tracing).


















