Author Interviews, Zika / 31.03.2017
Comparison Zika Outbreaks in French Polynesia, Colombia and the State of Bahia in Brazil
MedicalResearch.com Interview with:
Daihai He PhD
Department of Applied Mathematics
The Hong Kong Polytechnic University
Hung Hom, Kowloon
Hong Kong (SAR), China
MedicalResearch.com: What is the background for this study? What are the main findings?
Response: Zika virus disease has large outbreaks in many Pacific and American countries in 2016, and the outbreaks are still on-going. Our work is conducted against this background. We compared data from three localities: French Polynesia in 2013-2014, Colombia and Brazil in 2016. We found that in French Polynesia the infection attack rate (i.e. the proportion of the population who got infected) is about 3/4, which matched previous serological studies. We then make estimation for the other two place. We found that the infection attack rate in Colombia in 2016 was most likely less than 50%. For Bahia province of Brazil, we did not arrive at a very accurate estimation, as the confidence interval is wide, and our best estimate is 30%. The relatively low infection attack rate in Colombia and Brazil implies that future outbreaks of Zika virus diseases are still possible. Thus control and surveillance efforts should be continued.
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